Huddserfield to stay up odds a better bet than Premier League relegation betting
FootyOn look at the Premier League relegation betting, but stats and signings suggest Huddersfield to stay up odds may be a more exciting punt.
It is very easy to dismiss Huddersfield Town ahead of their maiden Premier League campaign because they are odds-on to go down.
The English top-flight in its current incarnation is uncharted territory for the Terriers.
A lack of Premier League know-how, plus the fates of Burnley (2009/10 and 2014/15) and Blackpool (2010/11) when promoted across the border in Lancashire, only seem to add weight to the notion modest northern teams cannot compete at this level.
Is it a foregone conclusion that West Yorkshire outfit Huddersfield are going down then? Sky Bet certainly think so at 4/6 in the Premier League relegation betting.
We’ve done some digging, however, and if history is any indication, then things appear in the balance.
No north-south divide on relegation
Of the 28 promoted teams since 1992 who weren’t in the old First Division when the Premier League was formed, 15 have stayed up in their first season and 13 failed.
If punters are wondering about a north-south bias, then it simply doesn’t exist.
Taking the West Midlands and down as the south, eight of 14 clubs have preserved top-flight status in their maiden Premier League campaign.
The remaining 14 teams in the East Midlands and up are viewed as at the north, meanwhile, and half of those staved off relegation in their first season.
In short, northern sides have a 50-50 chance of staying up and the percentage is only slightly higher in the south.
Sky Bet thus go with 6/5 Huddersfield to stay up odds.
Terriers transfers a serious statement of intent
Stats are all well and good, but naysayers will point out you can prove anything with them.
David Wagner has been backed in the transfer window, however, and Huddersfield have broken their record signing three times already this summer.
The first, £3,500,000 for Belgium cap striker Laurent Depoitre, admittedly was from a low base.
An initial £8,000,000 for Australia’s midfield all-rounder Aaron Mooy, who impressed on loan with the Terriers last term, soon followed.
Not content with that, the Terriers also took Benin frontman Steve Mounie from Montpellier for €13,000,000.
Wagner will no doubt be hoping 6ft 3in Mounie can have the same kind of impact at Huddersfield as Olivier Giroud has made with Arsenal.
Continuity and change
Having spent around £15,000,000 on striking reinforcements, it remains to be seen what role Nahki Wells has in the Premier League
Besides the permanent capture of engine room operator Mooy, the Terriers have also got German-born DR Congo forward Elias Kachunga for keeps.
Chelsea youngster Kasey Palmer remains in West Yorkshire on loan, while winger Tom Ince will test himself at Premier League level again.
Danny Williams arrives on a free from Reading – the side Huddersfield beat in the Championship play-off final – and Scott Malone is a smart buy from Fulham for left back.
Adding a couple of Denmark internationals in goalie Jonas Lossl (loan) and centre back Mathias Jorgensen brings the Terriers’ transfer business to 10 names.
If that looks like too many new faces to gel, then back Huddersfield in the Premier League relegation betting, but getting their business done early means staying up at odds against has merit.
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